Albania vs Italy: result 1-3 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on November 16, 2022 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Arena Kombëtare, Tiranë (Tirana)
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What was the result of Albania vs Italy?
Italy won 1-3 on November 16, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 16′A. IsmajliAlbania
- 20′G. Di LorenzoItaly
- 25′V. GrifoItaly
- 64′V. GrifoItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albania have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Italy have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2022 | Qatar(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 26, 2022 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Iceland(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Israel(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 13, 2022 | Estonia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2022 | Hungary(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 23, 2022 | England(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 14, 2022 | Germany(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2022 | England(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2022 | Hungary(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Albania win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2017 | Albania 0-1 Italy | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2017 | Italy 2-0 Albania | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Albania score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albania | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Italy | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy