Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sárbogárd Sportpálya, Sárbogárd
The Footlab AI model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar?
Kaposvar is a heavy favourite: 1,640 Elo points against 1,315, a 326-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sárbogárd
Not enough data to predict the Sárbogárd lineup.
Kaposvar
Not enough data to predict the Kaposvar lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sárbogárd have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Kaposvar have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Hatvan(away) | 4-1 | Magyar Kupa |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sárbogárd wins, 0 draws, 1 Kaposvar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Sárbogárd 0-1 Kaposvar | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar on Aug 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Sárbogárd score 1.0 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kaposvar score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sárbogárd | 1.0 | 2.6 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kaposvar | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sárbogárd sit 14th in NB III - Southwest (5 points from 10 matches) and Kaposvar sit 2nd (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaposvar | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 19 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar played?
- Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sárbogárd Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.