Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sárbogárd Sportpálya, Sárbogárd
The Footlab model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar?
Kaposvar is a heavy favourite: 1,670 Elo points against 1,310, a 360-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Sárbogárd have 3 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Kaposvar have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 0-6 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 1-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siofok(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dombóvári(home) | 6-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sárbogárd win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kaposvar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Sárbogárd 0-1 Kaposvar | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar on Aug 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Sárbogárd score 1.1 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 14; Kaposvar score 2.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sárbogárd | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/14 | 12/14 |
| Kaposvar | 2.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sárbogárd sit 15th in NB III - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Kaposvar sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaposvar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | Sárbogárd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar?
- The Footlab model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar played?
- Sárbogárd vs Kaposvar is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sárbogárd Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.