Ivinhema vs Pantanal: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 1Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Luis Saraiva Vieira, Ivinhema, Mato Grosso do Sul
The Footlab AI model makes Ivinhema the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Pantanal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ivinhema wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ivinhema vs Pantanal?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Ivinhema (1,499) and Pantanal (1,470).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ivinhema vs Pantanal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ivinhema
Not enough data to predict the Ivinhema lineup.
Pantanal
Not enough data to predict the Pantanal lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ivinhema have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Pantanal have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Democrata GV(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Democrata GV(home) | 3-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 14, 2026 | CRAC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 31, 2026 | Uberlandia(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | Ipatinga(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Ivinhema(home) | 2-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | CR Aquidauana(away) | 0-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Ji-Paraná(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Bataguassu(away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Naviraiense(home) | 2-3 | Sul-Matogrossense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ivinhema wins, 1 draw, 1 Pantanal win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Pantanal 2-2 Ivinhema | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Ivinhema 0-1 Pantanal | Sul-Matogrossense |
How many goals should we expect?
Ivinhema score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pantanal score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivinhema | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Pantanal | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ivinhema sit 4th in Sul-Matogrossense (12 points from 9 matches) and Pantanal sit 8th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ivinhema | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Pantanal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
A question about Ivinhema vs Pantanal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ivinhema vs Pantanal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ivinhema the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Pantanal.
- Where and when is Ivinhema vs Pantanal played?
- Ivinhema vs Pantanal is played on January 17, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Luis Saraiva Vieira, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.