Naviraiense vs Corumbaense: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 1Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Candido dos Santos, Naviraí, Mato Grosso do Sul
The Footlab AI model makes Naviraiense the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Corumbaense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Naviraiense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naviraiense vs Corumbaense?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Naviraiense (1,509) and Corumbaense (1,459).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naviraiense vs Corumbaense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naviraiense
Not enough data to predict the Naviraiense lineup.
Corumbaense
4-3-3- RRomarinho
- IItalo Pica-Pau
- LLucas Cassiano de Almeida
- GGustavo Henrique Amaral
- LLaercio Jose Aguiar Cavalheiro Junior
- PPeterson
- JJaime Cardoso Pinto da Silva
- VVinícius Roberto Conceição da Costa
- EElivelton Fabrizio Vicente de Oliveira
- RRodrigo Digão
- RRenan Matheus de Oliveira Brites
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naviraiense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Corumbaense have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Bataguassu(home) | 0-4 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Bataguassu(away) | 1-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Águia Negra(away) | 2-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 0-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Costa Rica (away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(away) | 1-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 1-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Dourados Atlético(home) | 2-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Dourados Atlético(away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Costa Rica (away) | 2-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Naviraiense win, 1 draw, 0 Corumbaense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Naviraiense 1-0 Corumbaense | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Naviraiense 0-0 Corumbaense | Sul-Matogrossense |
Last archived meeting: Naviraiense vs Corumbaense on Jan 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naviraiense score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Corumbaense score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naviraiense | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Corumbaense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naviraiense sit 1st in Sul-Matogrossense (18 points from 9 matches) and Corumbaense sit 3rd (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naviraiense | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Corumbaense | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Naviraiense vs Corumbaense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naviraiense vs Corumbaense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naviraiense the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Corumbaense.
- Where and when is Naviraiense vs Corumbaense played?
- Naviraiense vs Corumbaense is played on January 17, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Candido dos Santos, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.