Izarra vs Beti Kozkor: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Merkatondoa, Estella (Lizarra)
The Footlab model makes Izarra the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Beti Kozkor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izarra vs Beti Kozkor?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Izarra (1,847) and Beti Kozkor (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izarra have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Beti Kozkor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 30, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 24, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ardoi(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Izarra win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Beti Kozkor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Izarra 1-0 Beti Kozkor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Beti Kozkor 0-3 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Izarra vs Beti Kozkor on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Izarra score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Beti Kozkor score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izarra | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Beti Kozkor | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izarra sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (61 points from 34 matches) and Beti Kozkor sit 7th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Izarra | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 61 |
| 7 | Beti Kozkor | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 44 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izarra vs Beti Kozkor?
- The Footlab model makes Izarra the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Beti Kozkor.
- Where and when is Izarra vs Beti Kozkor played?
- Izarra vs Beti Kozkor is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Merkatondoa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.