Izola vs Škofja Loka: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 7Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mestni stadion Izola, Izola
The Footlab model makes Izola the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Škofja Loka. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izola vs Škofja Loka?
Izola starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,587 vs 1,370).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izola have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Škofja Loka have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Adria(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Litija(home) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dob(away) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 5-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Bistrc(home) | 3-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Izola win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Škofja Loka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Izola 3-1 Škofja Loka | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Škofja Loka 2-1 Izola | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Škofja Loka 0-5 Izola | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Izola score 2.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Škofja Loka score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izola | 2.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Škofja Loka | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izola sit 1st in 3. SNL - West (6 points from 2 matches) and Škofja Loka sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Škofja Loka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izola vs Škofja Loka?
- The Footlab model makes Izola the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Škofja Loka.
- Where and when is Izola vs Škofja Loka played?
- Izola vs Škofja Loka is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mestni stadion Izola, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.