Litija vs Adria: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 7Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Litija the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Adria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Litija vs Adria?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Litija (1,442) and Adria (1,379).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Litija have 3 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Adria have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Izola(away) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Ilirija(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Kresnice(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Dragomer(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Izola(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Tolmin(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Vipava(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Primorje(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Litija score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 8; Adria score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Litija | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 2/8 | 5/8 |
| Adria | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Litija sit 12th in 3. SNL - West (0 points from 2 matches) and Adria sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Adria | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Litija | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Litija vs Adria?
- The Footlab model makes Litija the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Adria.
- Where and when is Litija vs Adria played?
- Litija vs Adria is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.