Jaguaré vs Atlético PE: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Jefferson de Freitas, Jaboatão dos Guararapes, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Jaguaré the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Atlético PE. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jaguaré wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaguaré vs Atlético PE?
Jaguaré starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,502 vs 1,376).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaguaré vs Atlético PE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaguaré
4-4-2- 18Edson Silva
- 23Léo Mago
- 8Ruan
- 2Medina
- 11Erik
- 17Jailton
- 15Paulo Miranda
- 13Gil Mineiro
- 16Guilherme Ferreira da Silva
- 6Nilson
- 1Igor
Atlético PE
Not enough data to predict the Atlético PE lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguaré have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Atlético PE have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maguary PE(home) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-6 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Retrô(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 0-4 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Decisão(away) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Ypiranga PE(away) | 0-4 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Vera Cruz(home) | 0-3 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Jaguaré(away) | 0-9 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Íbis(home) | 1-3 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Decisão(away) | 0-5 | Pernambucano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Jaguaré win, 0 draws, 0 Atlético PE wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2024 | Jaguaré 9-0 Atlético PE | Pernambucano - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Jaguaré vs Atlético PE on Aug 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Jaguaré score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético PE score 0.7 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguaré | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético PE | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jaguaré | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Jaguaré vs Atlético PE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaguaré vs Atlético PE?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jaguaré the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Atlético PE.
- Where and when is Jaguaré vs Atlético PE played?
- Jaguaré vs Atlético PE is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Jefferson de Freitas, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.