Cha Grande vs Pesqueira: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cha Grande the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Pesqueira. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cha Grande wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cha Grande vs Pesqueira?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Cha Grande (1,437) and Pesqueira (1,477).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cha Grande vs Pesqueira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cha Grande
Not enough data to predict the Cha Grande lineup.
Pesqueira
Not enough data to predict the Pesqueira lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Cha Grande have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Pesqueira have 1, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Belo Jardim(home) | 0-3 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | América PE(away) | 0-4 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Sete de Setembro(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Caruaru City(away) | 2-3 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Pesqueira(home) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Sete de Setembro(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Caruaru City(away) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Aguia FC(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Cha Grande(away) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Cha Grande wins, 0 draws, 1 Pesqueira win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | Cha Grande 0-1 Pesqueira | Pernambucano - 3 |
Last archived meeting: Cha Grande vs Pesqueira on Oct 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Cha Grande score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 7; Pesqueira score 0.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cha Grande | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1 | 3/7 | 5/7 |
| Pesqueira | 0.4 | 0.6 | 4 | 2/7 | 0/7 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
A question about Cha Grande vs Pesqueira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cha Grande vs Pesqueira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cha Grande the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Pesqueira.
- Where and when is Cha Grande vs Pesqueira played?
- Cha Grande vs Pesqueira is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.