Jaguaré vs Santa Fe PE: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Jefferson de Freitas, Jaboatão dos Guararapes, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Fe PE the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Jaguaré. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Fe PE wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,146 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaguaré vs Santa Fe PE?
On Elo ratings, Jaguaré has 1,414 points and Santa Fe PE 1,466.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaguaré vs Santa Fe PE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaguaré
4-4-2- 18Edson Silva
- 23Léo Mago
- 8Ruan
- 2Medina
- 11Erik
- 17Jailton
- 15Paulo Miranda
- 13Gil Mineiro
- 16Guilherme Ferreira da Silva
- 6Nilson
- 1Igor
Santa Fe PE
Not enough data to predict the Santa Fe PE lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguaré have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Santa Fe PE have 1, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Atlético PE(home) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maguary PE(home) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-6 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Retrô(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 0-4 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Serrano PE(away) | 3-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jaguaré score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Fe PE score 3.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguaré | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Santa Fe PE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaguaré sit 5th in Pernambucano - 1 (0 points from 1 match) and Santa Fe PE sit 1st (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Fe PE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Jaguaré | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Jaguaré vs Santa Fe PE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaguaré vs Santa Fe PE?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Fe PE the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Jaguaré.
- Where and when is Jaguaré vs Santa Fe PE played?
- Jaguaré vs Santa Fe PE is played on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Jefferson de Freitas, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.