Petrolina vs 1º de Maio: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Paulo de Souza Coelho, Petrolina, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Petrolina the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for 1º de Maio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Petrolina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrolina vs 1º de Maio?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Petrolina (1,386) and 1º de Maio (1,403).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Petrolina vs 1º de Maio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Petrolina
4-4-2- TTiaguinho
- IIgor
- KKiko
- JJoão Neto
- AAlvaro Vieira
- JJoão Victor
- IIsaque Gavioli
- MMarcos Vinicius
- AAugusto
- NNildo Petrolina
- AAndré Lucas
1º de Maio
Not enough data to predict the 1º de Maio lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrolina have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; 1º de Maio have 1, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Afogados(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-3 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Jaguaré(away) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Retrô(home) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Central SC(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Salgueiro(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Caruaru City(home) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Belo Jardim(away) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Pesqueira(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | América PE(home) | 1-3 | Pernambucano - 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Petrolina score 0.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; 1º de Maio score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolina | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| 1º de Maio | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petrolina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
A question about Petrolina vs 1º de Maio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrolina vs 1º de Maio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Petrolina the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for 1º de Maio.
- Where and when is Petrolina vs 1º de Maio played?
- Petrolina vs 1º de Maio is played on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Paulo de Souza Coelho, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.