Chapulineros vs Tapachula: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Chapulineros the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chapulineros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chapulineros vs Tapachula?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Chapulineros (1,784) and Tapachula (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chapulineros vs Tapachula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapulineros have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Tapachula have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Chapulineros win, 0 draws, 2 Tapachula wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula 2-3 Chapulineros | Primera Premier |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Tapachula 1-0 Chapulineros | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Chapulineros 1-3 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Tapachula vs Chapulineros on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chapulineros score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tapachula score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapulineros | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Tapachula | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapulineros sit 11th in Primera Premier (8 points from 7 matches) and Tapachula sit 17th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chapulineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 17 | Tapachula | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Chapulineros vs Tapachula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chapulineros vs Tapachula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chapulineros the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tapachula.
- Where and when is Chapulineros vs Tapachula played?
- Chapulineros vs Tapachula is played on February 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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