Tritons Vallarta vs Lobos ULMX: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Canchas Curiel, Las Juntas
The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Lobos ULMX. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tritons Vallarta vs Lobos ULMX?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Tritons Vallarta (1,849) and Lobos ULMX (1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tritons Vallarta vs Lobos ULMX
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tritons Vallarta
Not enough data to predict the Tritons Vallarta lineup.
Lobos ULMX
Not enough data to predict the Lobos ULMX lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritons Vallarta have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Lobos ULMX have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Tritons Vallarta wins, 0 draws, 1 Lobos ULMX win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lobos ULMX 2-1 Tritons Vallarta | Primera Premier |
Last archived meeting: Lobos ULMX vs Tritons Vallarta on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tritons Vallarta score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lobos ULMX score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritons Vallarta | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
| Lobos ULMX | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tritons Vallarta sit 18th in Primera Premier (2 points from 6 matches) and Lobos ULMX sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lobos ULMX | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Tritons Vallarta | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
A question about Tritons Vallarta vs Lobos ULMX?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tritons Vallarta vs Lobos ULMX?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Lobos ULMX.
- Where and when is Tritons Vallarta vs Lobos ULMX played?
- Tritons Vallarta vs Lobos ULMX is played on February 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Canchas Curiel, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.