Celaya vs Racing de Veracruz: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Racing de Veracruz the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Celaya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing de Veracruz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celaya vs Racing de Veracruz?
Racing de Veracruz starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,093 vs 1,964).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celaya vs Racing de Veracruz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Racing de Veracruz
Not enough data to predict the Racing de Veracruz lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Racing de Veracruz have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 3-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 3-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Celaya wins, 0 draws, 3 Racing de Veracruz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz 2-1 Celaya | Primera Premier |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz 4-0 Celaya | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Celaya 0-1 Racing de Veracruz | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Racing de Veracruz vs Celaya on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Racing de Veracruz score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Racing de Veracruz | 2.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celaya sit 6th in Primera Premier (13 points from 7 matches) and Racing de Veracruz sit 2nd (17 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Racing de Veracruz | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Celaya vs Racing de Veracruz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celaya vs Racing de Veracruz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing de Veracruz the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Celaya.
- Where and when is Celaya vs Racing de Veracruz played?
- Celaya vs Racing de Veracruz is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.