Jalapa vs Real Estelí: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 3Kick-off on July 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Ramos Turcio, Jalapa
Full time
What was the result of Jalapa vs Real Estelí?
Real Estelí won 0-1 on July 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 68′?Real Estelí
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Real Estelí win at 48%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jalapa have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Real Estelí have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Managua(away) | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Walter Ferretti(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Matagalpa(home) | 3-2 | Copa Nicaragua |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Matagalpa(away) | 1-3 | Copa Nicaragua |
| May 7, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Matagalpa(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | UNAN Managua(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Xilotepelt(home) | 2-0 | Copa Nicaragua |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Xilotepelt(away) | 1-0 | Copa Nicaragua |
| May 17, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jalapa wins, 3 draws, 3 Real Estelí wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Real Estelí 3-1 Jalapa | Primera Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Jalapa 0-0 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Real Estelí 2-1 Jalapa | Primera Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Jalapa 2-2 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Jalapa 1-1 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Real Estelí 4-2 Jalapa | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Jalapa score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Estelí score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalapa | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Estelí | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jalapa sit 9th in Primera Division (6 points from 12 matches) and Real Estelí sit 4th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Estelí | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 22 |
| 9 | Jalapa | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
A question about Jalapa vs Real Estelí?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy