Japan vs Brazil: result 3-2 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on October 14, 2025 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
Full time
What was the result of Japan vs Brazil?
Japan won 3-2 on October 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′Paulo HenriqueBrazil
- 32′Gabriel MartinelliBrazil
- 52′T. MinaminoJapan
- 62′Keito NakamuraJapan
- 71′A. UedaJapan
Official lineup for Japan vs Brazil
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Japan
3-4-2-1- 18A. Ueda
- 8T. Minamino
- 20T. Kubo
- 13Keito Nakamura
- 15D. Kamada
- 21K. Sano
- 10R. Dōan
- 25J. Suzuki
- 3S. Taniguchi
- 4T. Watanabe
- 1Z. Suzuki
Brazil
4-3-3- 22Gabriel Martinelli
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 19Luiz Henrique
- 11Lucas Paquetá
- 5Casemiro
- 8Bruno Guimarães
- 24Carlos Augusto
- 15Beraldo
- 14Fabrício Bruno
- 13Paulo Henrique
- 1Hugo Souza
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Japan have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Brazil have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Paraguay(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 9, 2025 | USA(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Mexico(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 15, 2025 | South Korea(away) | 1-0 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Jul 12, 2025 | China(home) | 2-0 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | South Korea(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Bolivia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Chile(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Paraguay(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Ecuador(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Japan wins, 0 draws, 3 Brazil wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2022 | Japan 0-1 Brazil | Friendlies |
| Nov 10, 2017 | Japan 1-3 Brazil | Friendlies |
| Jun 15, 2013 | Brazil 3-0 Japan | Confederations Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Japan score 2.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Brazil score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 2.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Brazil | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Japan vs Brazil?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy