Match

Jaraíz vs Guadiana: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, Jaraíz de la Vera

JaraízGuadiana

The Footlab model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Guadiana. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jaraíz vs Guadiana?

Jaraíz win52 %
Draw26 %
Guadiana win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaraíz have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Guadiana have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jaraíz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Badajoz(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 17, 2026Badajoz(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 10, 2026Villanovense(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026Cabeza Buey(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026Llerenense(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Jaraíz3416117533359

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jaraíz vs Guadiana?
The Footlab model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Guadiana.
Where and when is Jaraíz vs Guadiana played?
Jaraíz vs Guadiana is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Jaraíz and Guadiana

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