Plasencia vs Moralo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Plasencia, Plasencia
The Footlab AI model makes Moralo the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Plasencia. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plasencia vs Moralo?
Moralo starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (1,840 vs 1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plasencia vs Moralo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plasencia
4-3-3- CChema Martín
- CC. Hanson
- LL. Macharashvili
- AAdri
- EEdu Sánchez
- DDiego
- ÁÁlvaro Juanals
- AAgustín Fuentes
- IIvan Villar
- AAday
- SSergio Moya
Moralo
Not enough data to predict the Moralo lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 03:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plasencia have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Moralo have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Quintana(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castuera(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gévora(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santa Amalia(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Zafra(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Plasencia wins, 1 draw, 5 Moralo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Plasencia 0-2 Moralo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Moralo 2-1 Plasencia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Plasencia 0-2 Moralo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Moralo 2-0 Plasencia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Moralo 1-0 Plasencia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Plasencia 0-0 Moralo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Plasencia score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Moralo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plasencia | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Moralo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plasencia sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (2 points from 5 matches) and Moralo sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Moralo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 17 | Plasencia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Plasencia vs Moralo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plasencia vs Moralo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Moralo the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Plasencia.
- Where and when is Plasencia vs Moralo played?
- Plasencia vs Moralo is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Plasencia, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.