Jarosław vs Wisłoka Dębica: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion JKS-u, Jarosław
The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Wisłoka Dębica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jarosław vs Wisłoka Dębica?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Jarosław (1,749) and Wisłoka Dębica (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Jarosław have 7 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Wisłoka Dębica have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Jarosław win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wisłoka Dębica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica 3-1 Jarosław | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Wisłoka Dębica vs Jarosław on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 13; Wisłoka Dębica score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/13 | 11/13 |
| Wisłoka Dębica | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jarosław sit 6th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Wisłoka Dębica sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jarosław | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Wisłoka Dębica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jarosław vs Wisłoka Dębica?
- The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Wisłoka Dębica.
- Where and when is Jarosław vs Wisłoka Dębica played?
- Jarosław vs Wisłoka Dębica is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion JKS-u, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026KSZO 1929vsStar Starachowice
- Nov 28, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Nov 28, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Nov 28, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsKorona Kielce II
- Nov 28, 2026NaprzódvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Nov 28, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsChełmianka Chełm
- Nov 28, 2026Moravia MorawicavsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Nov 28, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II