Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?

Czarni Połaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Czarni Połaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, Połaniec

Czarni Połaniec

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Czarni Połaniec (1,771) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,714).

Czarni Połaniec win53 %

Draw24 %

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Czarni Połaniec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce II(away)	4-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Star Starachowice(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Jarosław(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Czarni Połaniec win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0-1 Czarni Połaniec	III Liga - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-1 Czarni Połaniec	III Liga - Group 4
Sep 27, 2025	Czarni Połaniec 1-5 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Nov 23, 2024	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-1 Czarni Połaniec	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 3, 2024	Czarni Połaniec 2-4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Mar 2, 2024	Czarni Połaniec 1-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Czarni Połaniec	1.5	1.7	2	11/15	9/15
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1.4	2.0	1	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Czarni Połaniec sit 5th in III Liga - Group 4 (9 points from 5 matches) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Czarni Połaniec	5	3	0	2	8	8	9
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5	1	1	3	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Czarni Połaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?: The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?: Czarni Połaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.