Hetman Zamosc vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, Zamość
The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hetman Zamosc vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Podlasie Biała Podlaska starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hetman Zamosc have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Hetman Zamosc win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-1 Hetman Zamosc | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Hetman Zamosc 1-4 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 5-2 Hetman Zamosc | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Hetman Zamosc on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hetman Zamosc | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hetman Zamosc sit 10th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hetman Zamosc vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
- The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hetman Zamosc.
- Where and when is Hetman Zamosc vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska played?
- Hetman Zamosc vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026KSZO 1929vsStar Starachowice
- Nov 28, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Nov 28, 2026JarosławvsWisłoka Dębica
- Nov 28, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsKorona Kielce II
- Nov 28, 2026NaprzódvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Nov 28, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsChełmianka Chełm
- Nov 28, 2026Moravia MorawicavsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Nov 28, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II