Jequié vs Bahia: prediction and stats
Baiano - 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Waldomiro Borges, Jequié, Bahia
The Footlab AI model makes Bahia the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Jequié. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jequié vs Bahia?
Bahia is a heavy favourite: 1,827 Elo points against 1,524, a 303-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jequié vs Bahia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jequié
4-3-3- 9Tiago Souza
- 11Edilson Matos dos Santos Junior
- 22Marcinho
- 8Jô
- 25Gatinha Ze
- 5Walfrido
- 3Mineiro William
- 14Baiano Caique
- 15Baiano Sergio
- 16Carioca Gabriel
- 12Fábio Szymonek
Bahia
5-3-2- 16Erick Pulga
- 9A. Véliz
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 5N. Acevedo
- 6Jean Lucas
- 33David Duarte
- 46Luciano Juba
- 99C. Olivera
- 44Marcos Victor
- 3Marco Moreno
- 1Ronaldo
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 07:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jequié have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bahia have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Barcelona BA(home) | 1-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Galícia(away) | 1-2 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 2-2 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Jacuipense(away) | 2-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Bahia de Feira(away) | 2-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Flamengo(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Jequié win, 0 draws, 4 Bahia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Bahia 4-2 Jequié | Baiano - 1 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Jequié 1-3 Bahia | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Bahia 4-1 Jequié | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Jequié 0-1 Bahia | Baiano - 1 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Bahia 0-1 Jequié | Baiano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jequié score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jequié | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bahia | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jequié sit 5th in Baiano - 1 (12 points from 9 matches) and Bahia sit 1st (23 points from 9 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Jequié | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Jequié vs Bahia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jequié vs Bahia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bahia the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Jequié.
- Where and when is Jequié vs Bahia played?
- Jequié vs Bahia is played on January 16, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Waldomiro Borges, in the Baiano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.