Vitoria vs Porto BA: prediction and stats
Baiano - 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Porto BA. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,823 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitoria vs Porto BA?
Vitoria starts as the favourite with a 294-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,461).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitoria vs Porto BA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitoria
4-2-3-1- 91Rene
- 95Caíque
- 33Erick
- 10Matheuzinho
- 6E. Martínez
- 12D. Tarzia
- 36Luan Cândido
- 98Mateusinho
- 83Jamerson
- 2E. Brítez
- 1Lucas Arcanjo
Porto BA
Not enough data to predict the Porto BA lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 07:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Porto BA have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-4 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Tombense(home) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| May 25, 2026 | Democrata GV(away) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| May 16, 2026 | Vitória ES(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| May 9, 2026 | Real Noroeste(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vitoria win, 1 draw, 0 Porto BA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Porto BA 1-1 Vitoria | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Vitoria 2-1 Porto BA | Baiano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Porto BA score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Porto BA | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 2nd in Baiano - 1 (16 points from 9 matches) and Porto BA sit 6th (11 points from 9 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vitoria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Porto BA | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Vitoria vs Porto BA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitoria vs Porto BA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Porto BA.
- Where and when is Vitoria vs Porto BA played?
- Vitoria vs Porto BA is played on January 16, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Baiano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.