Jesenice vs Dekani: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Igrišče NK Jesenice, Jesenice
The Footlab model makes Dekani the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Jesenice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jesenice vs Dekani?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Jesenice (1,394) and Dekani (1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jesenice have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Dekani have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krško(home) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Krka(away) | 2-3 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jesenice(home) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Primorje(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana(home) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Krka(home) | 4-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Rudar(away) | 2-2 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Jesenice win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dekani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dekani 0-2 Jesenice | 2. SNL |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Dekani 3-0 Jesenice | 2. SNL |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Jesenice 2-2 Dekani | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Jesenice score 0.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dekani score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesenice | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dekani | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jesenice sit 7th in 2. SNL (4 points from 3 matches) and Dekani sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jesenice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Dekani | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jesenice vs Dekani?
- The Footlab model makes Dekani the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Jesenice.
- Where and when is Jesenice vs Dekani played?
- Jesenice vs Dekani is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Igrišče NK Jesenice, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.