Match
JFC Jelgava vs Mārupe: result 1-2 and analysis
CupRound of 64Kick-off on May 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of JFC Jelgava vs Mārupe?
Mārupe won 1-2 on May 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′663901JFC Jelgava
- 72′A. MinasyanMārupe
- 77′M. DobrajsMārupe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, JFC Jelgava have 5 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Mārupe have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Līvāni(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| May 4, 2024 | Staiceles Bebri(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| May 27, 2023 | LBF FK Daugava(home) | 3-4 | Cup |
| May 13, 2023 | RTU(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Saldus SS/Leevon(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| May 17, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
JFC Jelgava score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 11; Mārupe score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JFC Jelgava | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 5/11 | 8/11 |
| Mārupe | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy