JFK Ventspils vs Mārupe: result 1-0 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on November 1, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Olimpiskā centra Ventspils Stadionā, Ventspils
Full time
What was the result of JFK Ventspils vs Mārupe?
JFK Ventspils won 1-0 on November 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 64′M. DembeleJFK Ventspils
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JFK Ventspils have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mārupe have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Skanste(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Riga FC II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Smiltene(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Progress / AFA Olaine(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Skanste(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Riga FC II(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 JFK Ventspils win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mārupe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2025 | Mārupe 1-2 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | JFK Ventspils 2-3 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Mārupe 1-0 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mārupe vs JFK Ventspils on Jul 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
JFK Ventspils score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mārupe score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JFK Ventspils | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mārupe | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JFK Ventspils sit 12th in 1. Liga (6 points from 9 matches) and Mārupe sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy