JIPPO vs Haka: prediction and stats
YkkösliigaGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mehtimäki tekonurmi, Joensuu
The Footlab model makes Haka the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for JIPPO. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JIPPO vs Haka?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate JIPPO (1,704) and Haka (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JIPPO have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Haka have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | KäPa(away) | 3-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(home) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Haka(away) | 0-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | JäPS(home) | 1-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 1-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(home) | 2-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | JäPS(away) | 2-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | JIPPO(home) | 3-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 4-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | KäPa(home) | 3-1 | Ykkösliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 JIPPO win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Haka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Haka 3-0 JIPPO | Ykkösliiga |
| May 29, 2026 | Haka 2-1 JIPPO | Ykkösliiga |
| Apr 16, 2024 | JIPPO 0-2 Haka | Suomen Cup |
| Sep 28, 2014 | JIPPO 1-1 Haka | Ykkönen |
| Jul 26, 2014 | Haka 5-0 JIPPO | Ykkönen |
| Jun 7, 2014 | JIPPO 1-4 Haka | Ykkönen |
How many goals should we expect?
JIPPO score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Haka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JIPPO | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Haka | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JIPPO sit 4th in Ykkösliiga (34 points from 20 matches) and Haka sit 3rd (40 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Haka | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 20 | 40 |
| 3 | Haka | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 20 | 40 |
| 4 | JIPPO | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | JIPPO | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JIPPO vs Haka?
- The Footlab model makes Haka the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for JIPPO.
- Where and when is JIPPO vs Haka played?
- JIPPO vs Haka is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mehtimäki tekonurmi, in the Ykkösliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.