Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Johvi Phoenix the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Luunja. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Johvi Phoenix (1,234) and Luunja (1,194).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Johvi Phoenix have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Luunja have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luunja(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Legion(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 0-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 5-4 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Johvi Phoenix win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Luunja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luunja 2-3 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix 2-4 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Luunja 6-1 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Luunja 1-1 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Johvi Phoenix 7-1 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
| May 26, 2024 | Johvi Phoenix 0-4 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Luunja vs Johvi Phoenix on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Johvi Phoenix score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Luunja score 2.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johvi Phoenix | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Luunja | 2.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Johvi Phoenix sit 3rd in Esiliiga B (28 points from 16 matches) and Luunja sit 3rd (44 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Luunja | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 51 | 44 |
| 3 | Johvi Phoenix | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 41 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja?
- The Footlab model makes Johvi Phoenix the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Luunja.
- Where and when is Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja played?
- Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja is played on October 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.