Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Johvi Phoenix the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Luunja. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja?
On Elo ratings, Johvi Phoenix has 1,258 points and Luunja 1,192.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Johvi Phoenix
Not enough data to predict the Johvi Phoenix lineup.
Luunja
Not enough data to predict the Luunja lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Johvi Phoenix have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Luunja have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 4-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 2-6 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 0-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Tulevik(home) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(away) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 2-5 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Johvi Phoenix wins, 1 draw, 3 Luunja wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luunja 2-3 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix 2-4 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Luunja 6-1 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Luunja 1-1 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Johvi Phoenix 7-1 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
| May 26, 2024 | Johvi Phoenix 0-4 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Luunja vs Johvi Phoenix on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Johvi Phoenix score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luunja score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johvi Phoenix | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Luunja | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Johvi Phoenix sit 3rd in Esiliiga B (28 points from 16 matches) and Luunja sit 6th (47 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Johvi Phoenix | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 41 | 28 |
| 6 | Luunja | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 74 | 63 | 47 |
A question about Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja?
- The Footlab AI model makes Johvi Phoenix the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Luunja.
- Where and when is Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja played?
- Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja is played on October 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.