Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Viljandi linnastaadion, Viljandi
The Footlab model makes Tulevik the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Tallinna Kalev II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev II?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Tulevik (1,177) and Tallinna Kalev II (1,161).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tulevik have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tallinna Kalev II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 1-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luunja(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Legion(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Rakvere FC Freedom(home) | 4-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Tulevik win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tallinna Kalev II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Tulevik 4-3 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II 1-2 Tulevik | Esiliiga B |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Tulevik 1-3 Tallinna Kalev II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tulevik score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tallinna Kalev II score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulevik | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Tallinna Kalev II | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tulevik sit 6th in Esiliiga B (38 points from 25 matches) and Tallinna Kalev II sit 9th (19 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tulevik | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 52 | 38 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 61 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev II?
- The Footlab model makes Tulevik the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Tallinna Kalev II.
- Where and when is Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev II played?
- Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev II is played on October 3, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Viljandi linnastaadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.