Legion vs Levadia U19: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Kadrioru staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Levadia U19 the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for Legion. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legion vs Levadia U19?
Levadia U19 starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,317 vs 1,029).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legion have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Levadia U19 have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Saku Sporting(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Legion(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 4-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Legion win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Levadia U19 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Levadia U19 1-0 Legion | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Levadia U19 6-0 Legion | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Legion 0-2 Levadia U19 | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Levadia U19 vs Legion on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legion score 1.1 and concede 4.1 goals per match over their last 15; Levadia U19 score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legion | 1.1 | 4.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Levadia U19 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legion sit 10th in Esiliiga B (12 points from 24 matches) and Levadia U19 sit 1st (47 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia U19 | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 47 |
| 10 | Legion | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 88 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legion vs Levadia U19?
- The Footlab model makes Levadia U19 the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for Legion.
- Where and when is Legion vs Levadia U19 played?
- Legion vs Levadia U19 is played on October 3, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Kadrioru staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.