Joinville vs Ceara: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil2nd RoundKick-off on May 11, 2016 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Joinville vs Ceara?
Ceara won 0-1 on May 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 11′Rafael CostaCeara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Joinville have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ceara have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2016 | Comercial MS(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 21, 2016 | Comercial MS(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Gremio(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2016 | Resende(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 6, 2016 | Resende(away) | 2-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Macaé(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 21, 2015 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Vitoria(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Joinville win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ceara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Joinville 3-0 Ceara | Serie B |
| Jul 16, 2014 | Ceara 1-3 Joinville | Serie B |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Ceara 0-3 Joinville | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2013 | Joinville 1-1 Ceara | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Ceara 4-3 Joinville | Serie B |
| Jun 16, 2012 | Joinville 1-1 Ceara | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Joinville score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ceara | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy