Jonava vs Hegelmann II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Jonava
The Footlab model makes Jonava the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hegelmann II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Jonava (1,288) and Hegelmann II (1,197).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jonava have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Hegelmann II have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ekranas(home) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ekranas(home) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Minija(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Jonava win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hegelmann II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Hegelmann II 2-1 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Hegelmann II 1-2 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Jonava 1-1 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Hegelmann II vs Jonava on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jonava score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hegelmann II score 1.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonava | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Hegelmann II | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jonava sit 10th in 1 Lyga (23 points from 21 matches) and Hegelmann II sit 12th (19 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jonava | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 27 | 23 |
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
- The Footlab model makes Jonava the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hegelmann II.
- Where and when is Jonava vs Hegelmann II played?
- Jonava vs Hegelmann II is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.