Jonava vs Hegelmann II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Jonava
The Footlab AI model makes Jonava the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Hegelmann II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
On Elo ratings, Jonava has 1,294 points and Hegelmann II 1,208.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jonava vs Hegelmann II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jonava
4-3-3- 11E. Mickevičius
- 9A. Raginis
- 99M. Ganusauskas
- 44T. Dombrauskis
- 77A. Stulga
- 23A. Rocys
- 12L. Čerkauskas
- 92A. Dubickas
- 21G. Nikonovas
- 14P. Nainys
- 1V. Šivickas
Hegelmann II
4-3-3- 25K. Keliauskas
- 98J. Pastukas
- 19D. Pasilys
- 88K. Janusa
- 80S. Gedziunas
- 8A. Armalas
- 55N. Stelmokas
- 35T. Giedraitis
- 42R. Sinkevicius
- 60M. Sendzikas
- 31R. Bagdonavičius
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jonava have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hegelmann II have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dainava(home) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dainava(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 5-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 0-3 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Jonava win, 1 draw, 1 Hegelmann II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Hegelmann II 2-1 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Hegelmann II 1-2 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Jonava 1-1 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Hegelmann II vs Jonava on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jonava score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hegelmann II score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonava | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Hegelmann II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jonava sit 10th in 1 Lyga (27 points from 26 matches) and Hegelmann II sit 12th (25 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jonava | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 26 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 56 | 25 |
A question about Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jonava the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Hegelmann II.
- Where and when is Jonava vs Hegelmann II played?
- Jonava vs Hegelmann II is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.