Minija vs Garliava: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, Kretinga
The Footlab AI model makes Minija the favourite at 90%, against 8% for a draw and 2% for Garliava. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minija vs Garliava?
Minija starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (1,541 vs 1,256).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Minija vs Garliava
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Minija
4-3-3- 45K. Aderounmu
- 7Julius Kasparavičius
- 21L. Zingertas
- 6M. A. Sidibe
- 14N. Komissarov
- 9D. Nwegbo
- 43B. Diawara
- 3E. Mockus
- 4M. Diawara
- 5E. Kirjanov
- 2V. Gaudiešius
Garliava
4-3-3- 26M. Del Campo
- 18Titas Pranauskas
- AA. Spyčius
- 9A. Pilipavicius
- 6S. Gedziunas
- 25Ignas Ambrazevicius
- 11Lukas Odincovas
- 3Lukas Pilionis
- 4Motiejus Simonaitis
- 33M. Bukharov
- 12Martynas Razanauskas
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minija have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Garliava have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 5-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Transinvest 2(home) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dainava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | BFA(home) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Minija win, 2 draws, 3 Garliava wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Garliava 0-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Garliava 4-2 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Minija 0-0 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Garliava 2-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| May 13, 2023 | Minija 1-1 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Minija 0-1 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Minija score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Garliava score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minija | 2.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Garliava | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minija sit 1st in 1 Lyga (67 points from 25 matches) and Garliava sit 11th (26 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68 | 13 | 67 |
| 11 | Garliava | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 26 |
A question about Minija vs Garliava?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minija vs Garliava?
- The Footlab AI model makes Minija the favourite at 90%, against 8% for a draw and 2% for Garliava.
- Where and when is Minija vs Garliava played?
- Minija vs Garliava is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.