Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieMatchday 23Kick-off on January 25, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Volendam wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 6,369 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam?
FC Volendam starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,653).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong Ajax
4-3-3- 7E. Ünüvar
- 11P. Nash
- 9D. Pugno
- 10Alejandro Monserrate
- 6T. Peters
- 8L. Acheampong
- 2R. van de Pavert
- 3G. Spina
- 5J. Amour
- 4M. Muzungu
- 1J. Heerkens
FC Volendam
4-2-3-1- 9H. Veerman
- 10R. Niemeijer
- 18N. Bukala
- 7N. Doodeman
- 8D. Huisman
- 21Y. el Maftahi
- 6A. Plat
- 2P. Ugwu
- 3M. Amevor
- 12D. Payne
- 16R. Steur
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Ajax have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; FC Volendam have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 23, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 3-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 3-5 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 6-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jong Ajax win, 1 draw, 4 FC Volendam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | Jong Ajax 0-2 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 25, 2024 | FC Volendam 3-0 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Jong Ajax 3-1 FC Volendam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 16, 2022 | FC Volendam 3-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Jong Ajax 4-4 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2021 | FC Volendam 4-2 Jong Ajax | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam on Mar 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Ajax score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Volendam score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Volendam | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Ajax sit 15th in Eerste Divisie (16 points from 14 matches) and FC Volendam sit 7th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Volendam | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 27 | 22 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 16 |
A question about Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam played?
- Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam is played on January 25, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Toekomst, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.