FC Volendam vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kras Stadion, Volendam
The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Jong AZ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Volendam vs Jong AZ?
FC Volendam starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Volendam have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Jong AZ have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Volendam win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jong AZ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jong AZ 3-1 FC Volendam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Jong AZ 0-1 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 6, 2024 | FC Volendam 2-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 11, 2022 | FC Volendam 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Jong AZ 0-1 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| May 12, 2021 | FC Volendam 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong AZ vs FC Volendam on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Volendam score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Volendam sit 12th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Jong AZ sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Volendam vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Jong AZ.
- Where and when is FC Volendam vs Jong AZ played?
- FC Volendam vs Jong AZ is played on January 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kras Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.