Juventud Torremolinos vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos
The Footlab model makes Juventud Torremolinos the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventud Torremolinos vs Real Jaén?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Juventud Torremolinos (1,877) and Real Jaén (1,972).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventud Torremolinos have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Jaén have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tarazona(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Juventud Torremolinos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real Jaén win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Real Jaén 2-1 Juventud Torremolinos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Juventud Torremolinos 1-1 Real Jaén | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Real Jaén 0-2 Juventud Torremolinos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Juventud Torremolinos 4-1 Real Jaén | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Real Jaén vs Juventud Torremolinos on May 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Juventud Torremolinos score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud Torremolinos | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Jaén | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Juventud Torremolinos | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 45 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventud Torremolinos vs Real Jaén?
- The Footlab model makes Juventud Torremolinos the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Real Jaén.
- Where and when is Juventud Torremolinos vs Real Jaén played?
- Juventud Torremolinos vs Real Jaén is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.