Teruel vs Real Murcia: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Pinila, Teruel
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Teruel. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teruel vs Real Murcia?
Real Murcia starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,977 vs 1,844).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Teruel vs Real Murcia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Teruel
4-3-3- 11Edu Gallardo
- 21Mario Sesè
- 7Sergio Moreno
- 14Relu
- 16Haritz Albisua
- 10Hugo Redón
- 3Joserra
- 15A. Lopez
- 2Andrés Borge
- 6N. Nicholas
- 25A. Zarco
Real Murcia
4-3-3- 19Joel Jorquera
- 23D. Flakus Bosilj
- 17Javi Moreno
- 8Javi Mier
- 14Palmberg
- 10Chema Núñez
- 2Jorge Mier
- 15Óscar Gil
- 3Cristo
- 4H. Perez
- 13Dani Jiménez
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teruel have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Real Murcia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Teruel wins, 2 draws, 1 Real Murcia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Real Murcia 4-0 Teruel | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Teruel 0-0 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Real Murcia 0-0 Teruel | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Teruel score 0.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teruel | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Real Murcia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teruel sit 18th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (5 points from 8 matches) and Real Murcia sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Murcia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 18 | Teruel | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Teruel vs Real Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teruel vs Real Murcia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Teruel.
- Where and when is Teruel vs Real Murcia played?
- Teruel vs Real Murcia is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Pinila, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.