Real Jaén vs Real Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 · Matchday 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, Jaén
The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Jaén wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,613 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Real Madrid II?
On Elo ratings, Real Jaén has 1,969 points and Real Madrid II 1,926.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Jaén vs Real Madrid II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 19M. Keita
- 14C. Polo
- 10Paz Adri
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 18Nacho Castillo
- 3D. Serrano
- 17Javi Moyano
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 20Mauro Cabello
- 1J. Morillas
Real Madrid II
4-3-3- 19A. Carvajal
- 11Ávaro Leiva
- 17A. Ciria
- 6J. Cestero Sancho
- 10Pol Fortuny
- 20R. Martin
- 2Jesús Fortea
- 3Diego Aguado
- 21O. Naasei
- 5J. Martinez
- 13Javier Navarro
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Jaén have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Madrid II have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 3-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antequera(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Jaén score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid II score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Jaén | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Madrid II | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Jaén sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (19 points from 11 matches) and Real Madrid II sit 9th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Jaén | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | Real Madrid II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
A question about Real Jaén vs Real Madrid II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Jaén vs Real Madrid II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Madrid II.
- Where and when is Real Jaén vs Real Madrid II played?
- Real Jaén vs Real Madrid II is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.