Kabwe Warriors vs Red Arrows: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Godfrey Chitalu Stadium, Kabwe
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 36% for Kabwe Warriors, 36% for a draw, 27% for Red Arrows. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kabwe Warriors vs Red Arrows?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Kabwe Warriors (1,579) and Red Arrows (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kabwe Warriors have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Red Arrows have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kabwe Warriors win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Red Arrows win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Red Arrows 3-1 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Kabwe Warriors 0-1 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Red Arrows 1-1 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 0-2 Red Arrows | Super League |
| May 15, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Red Arrows 1-1 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kabwe Warriors score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kabwe Warriors | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Red Arrows | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kabwe Warriors sit 4th in Super League (51 points from 34 matches) and Red Arrows sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 25 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kabwe Warriors vs Red Arrows?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 36% for Kabwe Warriors, 36% for a draw, 27% for Red Arrows.
- Where and when is Kabwe Warriors vs Red Arrows played?
- Kabwe Warriors vs Red Arrows is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Godfrey Chitalu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.