Green Buffaloes vs Kabwe Warriors: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Green Buffaloes, 35% for a draw, 32% for Kabwe Warriors. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Green Buffaloes vs Kabwe Warriors?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Green Buffaloes (1,511) and Kabwe Warriors (1,579).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Buffaloes have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Kabwe Warriors have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Green Buffaloes win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kabwe Warriors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Green Buffaloes 0-2 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Green Buffaloes 1-0 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 1-1 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Green Buffaloes 1-0 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Kabwe Warriors 3-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Green Buffaloes vs Kabwe Warriors on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Green Buffaloes score 0.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kabwe Warriors score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Buffaloes | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Kabwe Warriors | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Buffaloes sit 12th in Super League (41 points from 34 matches) and Kabwe Warriors sit 4th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 25 | 51 |
| 12 | Green Buffaloes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Green Buffaloes vs Kabwe Warriors?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Green Buffaloes, 35% for a draw, 32% for Kabwe Warriors.
- Where and when is Green Buffaloes vs Kabwe Warriors played?
- Green Buffaloes vs Kabwe Warriors is played on December 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 23, 2026Green EaglesvsNkwazi
- Dec 23, 2026NkanavsKonkola Blades
- Dec 23, 2026Red ArrowsvsRoan United
- Dec 23, 2026Nchanga RangersvsNAPSA Stars
- Dec 23, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsZanaco
- Dec 24, 2026Power DynamosvsMan Utd Zambia Academy
- Dec 24, 2026Mutondo StarsvsZESCO United
- Dec 24, 2026Chirundu UtdvsMufulira Wanderers