Match

Red Arrows vs Roan United: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkoloma Stadium, Lusaka

Red ArrowsRoan United

The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 62%, against 27% for a draw and 11% for Roan United. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Red Arrows vs Roan United?

Red Arrows starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,383).

Red Arrows win62 %
Draw27 %
Roan United win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Arrows have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Roan United have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Red Arrows
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Green Buffaloes(home)2-0Super League
May 17, 2026Mufulira Wanderers(away)0-0Super League
May 14, 2026Green Eagles(home)2-1Super League
May 6, 2026Zanaco(away)0-0Super League
May 2, 2026Mutondo Stars(away)0-1Super League
Roan United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2014Konkola Blades(away)2-0Super League
Nov 15, 2014Konkola Mine Police(home)1-1Super League
Oct 26, 2014Green Eagles(away)0-2Super League
Oct 19, 2014Indeni(home)0-1Super League
Oct 4, 2014National Assembly(away)0-1Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Red Arrows win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Roan United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2014Red Arrows 3-2 Roan UnitedSuper League
May 17, 2014Roan United 0-1 Red ArrowsSuper League
Oct 5, 2013Roan United 0-0 Red ArrowsSuper League
May 18, 2013Red Arrows 1-1 Roan UnitedSuper League
Sep 1, 2012Roan United 2-1 Red ArrowsSuper League
May 5, 2012Red Arrows 1-1 Roan UnitedSuper League

Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs Roan United on Sep 20, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Roan United score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Red Arrows1.10.777/156/15
Roan United0.61.346/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Red Arrows3417125442263

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Red Arrows vs Roan United?
The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 62%, against 27% for a draw and 11% for Roan United.
Where and when is Red Arrows vs Roan United played?
Red Arrows vs Roan United is played on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkoloma Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Red Arrows and Roan United

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