Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ortalyq stadıon, Almaty
The Footlab model makes Kairat Almaty the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Zhetysu. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu?
Kairat Almaty is a heavy favourite: 1,774 Elo points against 1,424, a 350-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kairat Almaty have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Zhetysu have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ulytau(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ordabasy(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Okzhetpes(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kairat Almaty win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Zhetysu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zhetysu 0-0 Kairat Almaty | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Kairat Almaty 5-0 Zhetysu | Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Zhetysu 2-2 Kairat Almaty | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Zhetysu 1-2 Kairat Almaty | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Kairat Almaty 0-0 Zhetysu | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Zhetysu 1-2 Kairat Almaty | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zhetysu vs Kairat Almaty on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kairat Almaty score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zhetysu score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Zhetysu | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kairat Almaty sit 2nd in Premier League (48 points from 21 matches) and Zhetysu sit 14th (19 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 48 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu?
- The Footlab model makes Kairat Almaty the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Zhetysu.
- Where and when is Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu played?
- Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ortalyq stadıon, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.