Kaspiy vs Altay: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Jas kanat, Aktau
The Footlab AI model makes Kaspiy the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Altay. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kaspiy wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaspiy vs Altay?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Kaspiy (1,524) and Altay (1,443).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kaspiy vs Altay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kaspiy
4-2-3-1- 93K. Sylla
- 15D. Epton
- 26P. Sedko
- 17V. Klimovich
- 11N. Ndombasi
- 47D. Usenov
- 30Bernardo Morgado
- 14A. Amaral
- 19M. Taykenov
- 21D. Aripov
- 24Dinmukhammed Zhomart
Altay
3-4-3- 45D. Dodev
- 99D. Stoisavljević
- 70D. Mitrofanov
- 98D. Podstrelov
- 18A. Nazymkhanov
- 21N. Jambor
- 77S. Popov
- 4N. Mićević
- 3S. Odeyobo
- 15Dmitriy Shmidt
- 25D. Kucher
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaspiy have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Altay have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zhetysu(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aktobe(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Yelimay Semey(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Irtysh(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ulytau(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kaisar(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ordabasy(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kaspiy wins, 1 draw, 2 Altay wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Altay 0-0 Kaspiy | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Altay 5-1 Kaspiy | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2025 | Kaspiy 1-2 Altay | 1. Division |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Altay 0-3 Kaspiy | 1. Division |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Kaspiy 4-1 Altay | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Altay 0-1 Kaspiy | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Kaspiy score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Altay score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaspiy | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Altay | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaspiy sit 10th in Premier League (29 points from 26 matches) and Altay sit 15th (23 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kaspiy | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 36 | 29 |
| 15 | Altay | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 38 | 23 |
A question about Kaspiy vs Altay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaspiy vs Altay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaspiy the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Altay.
- Where and when is Kaspiy vs Altay played?
- Kaspiy vs Altay is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Jas kanat, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.