Ulytau vs Okzhetpes: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan
The Footlab AI model makes Okzhetpes the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Ulytau. The most likely score is 1-1. If Okzhetpes wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulytau vs Okzhetpes?
Okzhetpes starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,572 vs 1,453).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulytau vs Okzhetpes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulytau
4-1-4-1- 45B. Zulfikarov
- 2David Carmona
- 14H. Harada
- 8B. Vachiberadze
- 18A. Bougnone
- 13Aslan Akhmedov
- 12V. Afanasenko
- 28G. Bugulov
- 69Daniel Maulenov
- 25H. Bukhal
- 1D. Nepogodov
Okzhetpes
3-5-2- 19O. Omirtayev
- 11T. Zhangylyshbay
- 47V. Vasiljev
- 8N. Buribayev
- 9D. Borodin
- 25Marcinho
- 77V. Sovpel
- 63I. Kuzmichev
- 3B. Lototskyi
- 5Léo Assunpção
- 22M. Lobantsev
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulytau have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Okzhetpes have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Aktobe(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Altay(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Zhetysu(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zhenys(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Irtysh(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ordabasy(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kaisar(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ulytau win, 1 draw, 3 Okzhetpes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Okzhetpes 2-1 Ulytau | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Okzhetpes 1-0 Ulytau | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Ulytau 0-1 Okzhetpes | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Ulytau 2-0 Okzhetpes | 1. Division |
| May 31, 2024 | Okzhetpes 1-1 Ulytau | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ulytau score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Okzhetpes score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulytau | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Okzhetpes | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulytau sit 9th in Premier League (32 points from 26 matches) and Okzhetpes sit 4th (45 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 45 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 32 |
A question about Ulytau vs Okzhetpes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulytau vs Okzhetpes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Okzhetpes the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Ulytau.
- Where and when is Ulytau vs Okzhetpes played?
- Ulytau vs Okzhetpes is played on October 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.