Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, Kanchanaburi
The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Mahasarakham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham United?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Kanchanaburi (1,542) and Mahasarakham United (1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kanchanaburi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Mahasarakham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Chonburi FC(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Kanchanaburi win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mahasarakham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Kanchanaburi 4-1 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
| May 4, 2025 | Mahasarakham United 3-3 Kanchanaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Mahasarakham United 2-2 Kanchanaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Kanchanaburi 2-3 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham United on May 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kanchanaburi score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanchanaburi | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Mahasarakham United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mahasarakham United | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham United?
- The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Mahasarakham United.
- Where and when is Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham United played?
- Kanchanaburi vs Mahasarakham United is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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