Kasetsart FC vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Intree Chantarasatit Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Kasetsart FC the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasetsart FC vs Nakhon Pathom?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Kasetsart FC (1,399) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kasetsart FC have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chiangmai United(home) | 3-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 4-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kasetsart FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Nakhon Pathom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Kasetsart FC 3-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Kasetsart FC 1-2 Nakhon Pathom | FA Cup |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Kasetsart FC 0-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kasetsart FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasetsart FC | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kasetsart FC sit 16th in Thai League 2 (38 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 49 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasetsart FC vs Nakhon Pathom?
- The Footlab model makes Kasetsart FC the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Kasetsart FC vs Nakhon Pathom played?
- Kasetsart FC vs Nakhon Pathom is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Intree Chantarasatit Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsPolice Tero
- Sep 19, 2026KanchanaburivsMahasarakham United
- Sep 19, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsChiangmai United
- Sep 19, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsChainat
- Sep 19, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsSatun
- Sep 20, 2026SongkhlavsMuang Loei United
- Sep 20, 2026Esan PattayavsPhrae United
- Sep 20, 2026UttaraditvsChanthaburi