Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun played?

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua Pitchaya

Satun

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Satun (1,421).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win51 %

Draw25 %

Satun win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

Satun
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 28, 2025	Lamphun Warrior(home)	0-2	League Cup
Sep 1, 2024	Muang Trang United(home)	1-1	League Cup
Mar 13, 2024	Muangthong United(home)	1-3	League Cup
Dec 6, 2023	Nakhon Pathom(home)	2-0	League Cup
Oct 25, 2023	Kanchanaburi(home)	2-1	League Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15
Satun	1.7	1.2	2	3/6	3/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun?: The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Satun.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun played?: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.