Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya
The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,453) and Phrae United (1,445).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Phrae United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Esan Pattaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Phrae United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United 0-0 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Esan Pattaya 0-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Phrae United 2-2 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Esan Pattaya 2-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Phrae United 1-0 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Esan Pattaya 1-3 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Esan Pattaya on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esan Pattaya sit 12th in Thai League 2 (42 points from 34 matches) and Phrae United sit 11th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
- The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Phrae United.
- Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United played?
- Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsPolice Tero
- Sep 19, 2026KanchanaburivsMahasarakham United
- Sep 19, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsChiangmai United
- Sep 19, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsChainat
- Sep 19, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsSatun
- Sep 20, 2026Kasetsart FCvsNakhon Pathom
- Sep 20, 2026SongkhlavsMuang Loei United
- Sep 20, 2026UttaraditvsChanthaburi