Match

Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya

Esan PattayaPhrae United

The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,453) and Phrae United (1,445).

Esan Pattaya win50 %
Draw25 %
Phrae United win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Phrae United have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Esan Pattaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat(away)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Sisaket United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)3-0Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-1Thai League 2
Phrae United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Police Tero(away)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)2-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Songkhla(away)0-0Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Esan Pattaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Phrae United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Phrae United 0-0 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Dec 7, 2025Esan Pattaya 0-1 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Mar 2, 2025Phrae United 2-2 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Nov 3, 2024Esan Pattaya 2-1 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Feb 24, 2024Phrae United 1-0 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Oct 28, 2023Esan Pattaya 1-3 Phrae UnitedThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Esan Pattaya on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Esan Pattaya1.51.157/158/15
Phrae United0.91.847/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Esan Pattaya sit 12th in Thai League 2 (42 points from 34 matches) and Phrae United sit 11th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Phrae United34101311405043
12Esan Pattaya34101212454242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Phrae United.
Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United played?
Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Esan Pattaya and Phrae United

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