Kaposvar vs Ajka: prediction and stats
Magyar KupaRound of 32Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rákóczi Stadion, Kaposvár
The Footlab AI model makes Ajka the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Kaposvar. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,102 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaposvar vs Ajka?
On Elo ratings, Kaposvar has 1,654 points and Ajka 1,593.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kaposvar vs Ajka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kaposvar
Not enough data to predict the Kaposvar lineup.
Ajka
4-3-3- 30L. Doncsecz
- 71Dominik Csoka
- 95Attila Filip Pintér
- 7B. Szabó
- 10D. Artner
- 5Z. Kenderes
- 29B. Bacsa
- 34Z. Tar
- 15N. Csorba
- 6Erik Németh
- 25B. Simon
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaposvar have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Ajka have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | BVSC(home) | 1-2 | NB II |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tiszakecske FC(away) | 3-4 | NB II |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 1-0 | NB II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Kaposvar wins, 0 draws, 2 Ajka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2021 | Ajka 3-1 Kaposvar | NB II |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Kaposvar 3-1 Ajka | NB II |
| Apr 4, 2015 | Ajka 3-2 Kaposvar | NB II |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Kaposvar 2-0 Ajka | NB II |
| Oct 29, 2013 | Ajka 0-6 Kaposvar | Magyar Kupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Kaposvar score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ajka score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaposvar | 2.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Ajka | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Kaposvar vs Ajka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaposvar vs Ajka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ajka the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Kaposvar.
- Where and when is Kaposvar vs Ajka played?
- Kaposvar vs Ajka is played on October 27, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rákóczi Stadion, in the Magyar Kupa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.