Match

Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, Şanlıurfa

Karaköprü BelediyesporDiyarbekirspor

The Footlab model makes Karaköprü Belediyespor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Karaköprü Belediyespor (1,548) and Diyarbekirspor (1,512).

Karaköprü Belediyespor win54 %
Draw25 %
Diyarbekirspor win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karaköprü Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karaköprü Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)2-33. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Kapadokyaspor(home)2-13. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)2-63. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026Ağrı 1970(home)2-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)0-23. Lig - Group 2
Diyarbekirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)2-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)4-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Karaköprü Belediyespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Diyarbekirspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 9, 2026Karaköprü Belediyespor 5-1 Diyarbekirspor3. Lig - Group 2
Oct 5, 2025Diyarbekirspor 0-0 Karaköprü Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor on Feb 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karaköprü Belediyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karaköprü Belediyespor1.31.949/158/15
Diyarbekirspor1.11.356/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?
The Footlab model makes Karaköprü Belediyespor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Diyarbekirspor.
Where and when is Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor played?
Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Karaköprü Belediyespor and Diyarbekirspor

Ready to know everything about football?