Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, Şanlıurfa
The Footlab model makes Karaköprü Belediyespor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Karaköprü Belediyespor (1,548) and Diyarbekirspor (1,512).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karaköprü Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 2-6 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ağrı 1970(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Karaköprü Belediyespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Diyarbekirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Karaköprü Belediyespor 5-1 Diyarbekirspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Diyarbekirspor 0-0 Karaköprü Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karaköprü Belediyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karaköprü Belediyespor | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Diyarbekirspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Karaköprü Belediyespor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Diyarbekirspor.
- Where and when is Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor played?
- Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Kırşehir BelediyesporvsAdanaspor
- Dec 20, 2026Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporvsAğrı 1970
- Dec 20, 2026Karaman FKvsYozgat Bld Bozokspor
- Dec 20, 2026Yeşilyurt BelediyesporvsYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
- Dec 20, 2026Mazıdağı FosfatsporvsTalasgücü Belediyespor
- Dec 20, 2026Silifke BelediyesporvsYeni Malatyaspor
- Dec 20, 2026Niğde BelediyesisporvsOsmaniyespor
- Dec 20, 2026Adana AdaletgucuvsKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu